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| Subject: | GISList: Spatial Statistics SUM |
| Date: |
11/09/2002 09:21:36 PM |
| From: |
DuBose Griffin |
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Here is the SUM of the answers that I received concerning spatial statistics (see below signature). Thank you for all your input. I am going to exhaust all my resources and then probably send a clearer description of my problem with some ways that I am going to tackle it so that people can learn from me as well as tell me where I am going wrong.
Enjoy your weekend.
*********************************************************** Ms. DuBose Griffin Endangered Species Biologist GIS Analyst Sea Turtle Desk
South Carolina Department of Natural Resources Wildlife and Freshwater Fisheries Division Wildlife Diversity Section 217 Fort Johnson Road Post Office Box 12559 Charleston, South Carolina 29422-2559 U.S.A.
Email: griffind@mrd.dnr.state.sc.us Voice: 843-953-9016 Fax: 843-953-9353 URL: http://water.dnr.state.sc.us/
***********************************************************
1. Short answer for technical problem.
I would use a structural analysis, also known as variography (element of geostatistics) to determine patterns of occurrence. You will need to generalize presence or non-presence of nests along the beach transect for particular years. You can also assign value to transect grid over entire dataset to look at temporal patterns as well as spatial. You can perform variography on both.
Lastly, forget about spatial patterns and look at conditional probabilities such as occurrence of nest within x miles of residences or maybe beach slope or beach length. Really no end to what you can do with a conditional analysis. I just did one on occurrence of recent sinkhole given overburden thickness.
We did something similar for seagrass density along transects for St. Johns River Water Management District (in Palatka, Florida). You just need to develop some type of way to give value to turtle presence versus point or grid location.
You may also want to check with Fla Marine Institute. I believe they use GIS in innovative ways to track manatees.
Good luck,
2. Hi, Talk with Lance Waller at Emory, he did very much the same thing in Florida... http://www.sph.emory.edu/bios/faculty/waller.html
3. Ripley, Spatial Statistics (Wiley & Sons, 1981) is a standard resource for these kinds of questions. He briefly discusses estimation based on line
transects in section 7.3. Your question is not directly answered there,
but enough of the statistical theory is developed that it could readily be answered.
I haven't read the following, but it looks promising:
McDonald, L.L. (1980), Line-intercept sampling for attributes other than
coverage and density, J. of Wildlife Management 44 530-533.
Steve Thompson references it in his book, Sampling (Wiley & Sons, 1992). He discusses estimating population means and variances from line-intercept samples, but does not mention pattern estimation.
4. Hello,
One method you may want to try is spatial synchrony analysis, since you have time series data. It lets you look at how synchrony in time trends falls off over distance, and is useful in identifying broad-scale population structure. See Koenig, W. D. 1999. Spatial autocorrelation of ecological phenomena. Trends in Ecology and Evolution 14: 22-26. If you wanted to just look at spatial autocorrelation (of say, an average sighting frequency or something like that) you could use a program like GS+ (there's also freeware available to do it, try http://biol10.biol.umontreal.ca/mnorton/stats.html ) to calculate a correlogram: this will tell you if autocorrelation exists and at what distance it falls off.
hope that helps,
5. Dear Ms. Griffin:
Thank you for your note, it sounds like you have an interesting set of data.
We've worked with similar data in Palm Beach County. I'll give brief description of the project, and I'm attaching a .pdf file containing a summary of the project that illustrates the type of work we've done.
Our primary interest was to analyze yearly sets of emergence locations for loggerheads and greens along Juno Beach. Locations are from GPS readings off the beach each morning during nesting season, but would be in a similar format to your transect data, I'm guessing. Basically, we have a long line with dots on it indicating emergence and nesting locations (we've ignored the location on the beach so far).
We estimate the "intensity" of dots along this line using something called kernel estimators. Basically, think of putting a scoop of ice cream over each dot on the line. If dots are close together, the ice cream piles up so after all dots have their scoops, we see a pile of ice cream along the line that is higher where there are more points close together. The top of of this pile defines a curve that summarizes the intesity of emergences along the beach (or along your transect). If there is a "dip" that is an area with relatively few em
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