Frank, Mike, et al,
Indeed, access to broadband is a fatal flaw for this business model for developing communities. However, it is much less fatal than it may initially appear. Bandwidth and access to bandwidth does, despite the wholesale vaporization of the telecom industry, continue to move forward. More fiber landings continue to be made [at least 30+ on the African continent], microwave, broadband Wi-Fi [WiMAX] and even broadband satellite make steady progress, even in developing communities. The flaw is in getting more people more access, sooner rather than later, not anything implicitly wrong with the business model itself.
Further complicating the struggling spatial ASP model is the counterintuitive licensing and technical deployment models that the major GIS software vendors impose upon potential consumers / solution providers of spatial ASP services. Take for example Malaysia, India and South Korea, 3 of the most heavily penetrated broadband markets and very technically advanced communities (GIS/IT communities), if access to broadband internet was truly a limiting factor, we would conclude that these 3 communities would be stampeding to implement spatial ASP solutions and ditching the desktop/LAN-enterprise GIS, etc. They are not. This is due to unnecessary and counterproductive software (GIS, RDBMS & 3rd party products) and data products licensing restrictions [not to mention some governmental bureaucratic chicken-littles] preventing the implementation of more useful & effective solutions.
Take the CRM market as a reasonable, if not limited technical proxy: for years SAP, Oracle, Siebel and others dominated the market, and their systems implementation [technical complexity] & costs made a modest enterprise-GIS look like "dollar-store" material. Along comes Salesforce.com (and some others) that moved the entire CRM model to an ASP. At present, salesforce.com has over 214,000 paying users from 13,300 customers [an average of 16 users per customer btw], and each of those users pay a minimum of $65 per month [for those keeping score at home, that's $14,000,000 per month in sales, minimum]. This is just one CRM ASP provider too. The point being, there was a latent demand that was being overlooked by the big CRM vendors, and that latent demand turned into a complete paradigm shift for the CRM industry [Seibel, ACT!, etc. all moved to the ASP model AFTER salesforce.com]. The same needs to happen in our industry. There is such an incredible latent demand in the developing world, not to mention a sizable market in the developed world, for REAL spatial ASP solutions, it confounds me that no one has really capitalized on it yet. [the numbers are very compelling]
True, right now, as I write this response, the best solution may be handing a set of CDs to someone in a developing community, but that process is rife with fatal flaws as well, and is a dying business model. The longer organizations subscribe to it, the longer it will persist [to the detriment of the users, the consumers and the industry as a whole]. I do appreciate the reality-check however. Thanks.
Anthony
-----Original Message----- From: Frank Warmerdam [mailto:fwarmerdam@gmail.com] Sent: Friday, January 21, 2005 12:53 PM To: Anthony Quartararo Cc: gislist@lists.geocomm.com Subject: Re: [gislist] GIS software/hardware donations for 3rd World
On Fri, 21 Jan 2005 10:18:09 -0500, Anthony Quartararo <ajq3@spatialnetworks.com> wrote: > Rick, > > Why not approach the problem from a fresh perspective? I am speaking > of the as-of-yet unfulfilled spatial ASP business model.
Anthony,
I think an ASP model for some sorts of mapping and spatial data analysis could be valuable, but my understanding is that dependable high speed network access is a big challenge in much of Africa. An ASP model might work well for some federal employees or major universities, but that once you get out into field offices internet access drops off dramatically.
Earlier this week I spoke with a UNEP staffer who said that for practical purposes a CD with data and software goes alot further amoung his user community in Africa than web services of various kinds.
So spatial ASP solutions may be a solution, but not necessarily to the question that was asked.
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