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Frank,
Excellent points as usual. Indeed, content companies, DigitalGlobe inclu= ded, will have to contend with the inertia of public expectations. Are they willing really to "insult" Google, who is probably more than willing to = go to a competitor the day after the current license for "data" expires? Perhaps. But, the deeper point is that google could buy all the compani= es making the content and avoid that, or they could just sign an indefinite license, that yields payment, but fractions of a percent of a "penny" fo= r each "unit", and the content provide gets to raise their base revenue stream, effectively forever...In response to your other point:
"To be honest I don't see googlemaps mashups replacing the need for enterprise gis for folks doing resources, facilities or other infrastruc= ture mapping work. A municipality can't use googlemaps as the cadastral database."
Perhaps, but I would simply respond simply, "not yet".
Anthony
-----Original Message----- From: fwarmerdam@gmail.com [mailto:fwarmerdam@gmail.com] On Behalf Of Fr= ank Warmerdam Sent: Friday, October 21, 2005 12:15 PM To: Anthony Quartararo Cc: gislist@lists.thinkburst.com: Adena.Schutzberg@directionsmag.com Subject: Re: [gislist] GoogleMaps?
On 10/21/05, Anthony Quartararo <ajq3@spatialnetworks.com> wrote: > It's my opinion that Google will continue to add content, and=20 > eventually make GoogleEarth free too, and never charge a fee for it,=20 > even for industrial strength, commercial "for-profit" applications. =20 > They will however, even if not yet determined, find a business model=20 > that involves advertising revenues, that will "pay" for all this, and=20 > they will simply ignore anyone using GoogleMaps in a commercial application. > > So, what's wrong with this picture? Nothing. However, ...
Anthony,
I think one aspect you are missing is that the data companies (ie. DigitalGlobe, etc) will not put up with this picture indefinately. If Google doesn't enforce their usage restrictions, then the data compan= ies will apply pressure to Google.
One interesting possibliity is that Google might just purchase an unlimi= ted license for the data it wants. They may have to settle for "second best= " data in some cases in order to get the right to use as they wish, but if this happens it could really have an effect.
> What we don't see in the landscape are things like "desktop GIS",=20 > "GIS", or even "OGC" [note to the faithful: not a dig], and so, what=20 > will we [as an entrenched, slow moving, traditional industry] do when=20 > the only place people go (practically speaking) for anything=20 > geospatial will be the virtual > (mammoth) googleplex... ?
To be honest I don't see googlemaps mashups replacing the need for enterprise gis for folks doing resources, facilities or other infrastruc= ture mapping work. A municipality can't use googlemaps as the cadastral database.
I see googlemaps putting pressure on data companies (it is getting harde= r to sell the same data many times), and on "casual" mapping applications.
Best regards, -- ---------------------------------------+-------------------------------- ---------------------------------------+------ I set the clouds in motion - turn up | Frank Warmerdam, warmerdam@pobox.com light and sound - activate the windows | http://pobox.com/~warmerdam and watch the world go round - Rush | Geospatial Programmer for Rent
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